Understanding long-term heart disease risk
Providers are now able to better understand a person’s lifetime risk of heart disease. They use a new risk score tool and additional screening tests to know if someone needs treatment earlier to help prevent problems before they happen.
PREVENT heart disease risk calculator
The guidelines recommend providers use a new risk calculator, called PREVENT, for adults aged 30 to 79 years old.
This tool uses information readily available from a routine checkup—such as your blood pressure, cholesterol levels, kidney function, and blood sugar—to estimate your 10-year risk of heart attack or stroke. It can also project that risk out over 30 years. Your provider may recommend earlier treatment to lower your lipid levels if you’re at higher risk. PREVENT replaces an older calculator that overestimated risk for many patients, meaning it recommended treatment for some patients who didn’t need it, while others at genuine risk were missed.
While lifestyle plays a role, certain people may be at higher risk of heart disease. The guidelines now formally recognize the following as risk factors your provider should consider:
Updated lipid screening guidelines and other tests
Screening tests help your provider understand your overall risk of heart disease. You likely get a blood test at every annual physical that measures your lipid levels, including cholesterol and triglyceride levels.
The guidelines now recommend earlier cholesterol screening and additional tests for some people. The updates include:
- Cholesterol screening in children. High cholesterol can affect heart disease risk even at younger ages, and children may be born with certain conditions that cause high cholesterol. The guidelines now recommend children aged 9 to 11 years have a cholesterol screening test to understand their heart disease risk early.
- Lipoprotein(a) test for everyone at least once. Lipoprotein(a), or Lp(a), is a type of cholesterol particle that’s like LDL "bad cholesterol," but with an extra protein attached that makes it more harmful at high levels. Having high levels of Lp(a) contributes to plaque buildup in your arteries and heart disease risk. Unlike most cholesterol levels, which respond to diet and exercise, Lp(a) is almost entirely based on your genetics, so you only need to get this simple blood test once as an adult.
- Apolipoprotein B test in certain people. Apolipoprotein B, or ApoB, is a protein found on the surface of cholesterol particles, including LDL, that directly drives plaque buildup in the arteries. LDL cholesterol measures the amount of cholesterol carried in those particles, while ApoB counts the number of harmful particles themselves. ApoB can be a more accurate picture of risk in some people, so your provider may check your ApoB level if you have high triglycerides, type 2 diabetes, obesity, or kidney disease. In these conditions, LDL alone can underestimate how much heart disease risk you actually carry.
- Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scan for certain people. A CAC scan is a quick, low-radiation CT scan that detects calcium deposits in the walls of your heart's arteries. The deposits are an early sign of plaque buildup, often before you have any symptoms. The result of your scan is a score, and higher scores indicate more buildup and higher risk. A change in the new guidelines is that your CAC score can now determine your cholesterol treatment target, where a higher score means a lower LDL goal. Providers may use a CAC scan to decide if you should start medication if you’re in the intermediate risk range.
New target LDL levels
The new cholesterol guidelines include ideal levels of LDL cholesterol to aim for, depending on your individual risk of heart disease. These include:
- 100 mg/dL for people at borderline or intermediate risk who are starting cholesterol-lowering treatment
- 70 mg/dL for people at high risk, including those with a CAC score of 100 or higher
- 55 mg/dL for people at very high risk—including those who have already had a heart attack or stroke, or those with an extremely high CAC score (1,000 or above)
Talk to your doctor about the new cholesterol guidelines
Dr. Bhattacharya recommends speaking with your primary care provider (PCP) or cardiologist about the new guidelines.
“There’s a lot of great information in the guidelines, but your provider can help explain what they mean for you and your family specifically,” he says. “You can discuss if additional tests or treatments make sense depending on your risk. The best time to start thinking about heart disease prevention is before you have any symptoms—and these guidelines help make that possible at a younger age than ever before.”
Your provider may recommend treatments to lower your LDL cholesterol or other lipid levels sooner to get well ahead of any problems. They may recommend lifestyle changes, taking statin medication, or other therapies.